Pedestrians walk across a road in Seoul, South Korea, on May 19, 2023. (PHOTO / AFP)
SEOUL - South Korea's economy sped up faster than expected in the second quarter, flattered by headline improvements in trade although weaker consumer and business spending add to the case for the central bank to loosen its restrictive monetary policy.
Gross domestic product (GDP) grew by a seasonally adjusted 0.6 percent in April-June on a quarterly basis, according to preliminary estimates from the Bank of Korea, after a 0.3 percent increase in the preceding three months.
It beat the median 0.5 percent rise forecast in a Reuters survey of economists and marked the biggest quarterly growth since the second quarter of 2022.
The upshot is that the central bank, enabled by falling inflation, is likely to step in to support the economy by loosening monetary policy in the coming months.
Shivaan Tandon, Economist at Capital Economics
By expenditure, exports fell 1.8 percent, but imports dropped at a much faster rate of 4.2 percent, bringing a net growth contribution of positive 1.3 percentage points to the heavily trade-reliant economy.
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Private consumption as well as facility and construction investments were all weaker than the quarter before, down 0.1 percent, 0.2 percent and 0.3 percent, respectively, while government spending dropped 1.9 percent, the biggest since early 1997.
GDP for the quarter was 0.9 percent higher than the same quarter the year before, compared with an expansion of 0.9 percent in the January-March quarter and a 0.8 percent increase expected by economists.
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Asia's fourth-largest economy is expected to grow 1.4 percent in 2023, down from 2.6 percent in 2022, according to the latest forecasts by the central bank and the government.
"The upshot is that the central bank, enabled by falling inflation, is likely to step in to support the economy by loosening monetary policy in the coming months," said Shivaan Tandon, emerging Asia economist at Capital Economics.