Published: 10:09, May 31, 2024 | Updated: 14:55, May 31, 2024
South Africa heads for coalition as ANC set for big fall
By Reuters
Independent Electoral Commission officials receive results at the National Results Operations Center in Johannesburg, South Africa, May 30, 2024, one day after South Africans voted in an election seen as their country's most important in 30 years, and one that could put them in unknown territory in the short history of their democracy. (PHOTO / AP)

MIDRAND, South Africa - South African political parties geared up for coalition talks on Friday as the governing African National Congress (ANC) looked set to fall well short of a majority in this week's election, the first time this has happened in 30 years of democracy.

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While the party of the late Nelson Mandela looked likely to remain the largest political force, voters appear to have punished the former liberation movement for years of decline.

African Union Election Observers, chief and former Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta, (center), and former Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan (left), listen to the Independent Electoral Commission Chief Electoral Officer Sy Mamabolo brief reporters and political party delegates at the National Results Operations Center in Johannesburg, South Africa, May 30, 2024. (PHOTO / AP)

The ANC had won every previous national election since the historic 1994 vote that ended white minority rule, but over the last decade South Africans have watched the economy stagnate, unemployment and poverty climb and infrastructure crumble, leading to regular power outages

The ANC had won every previous national election since the historic 1994 vote that ended white minority rule, but over the last decade South Africans have watched the economy stagnate, unemployment and poverty climb and infrastructure crumble, leading to regular power outages.

READ MORE: S. Africa's Ramaphosa still seen as ANC's best hope despite scandal

With results in from 51.92 percent of polling stations, the ANC had 42.3 percent of votes, a precipitous drop from the 57.5 percent of votes it secured in the last national election in 2019.

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Projections by South Africa's Council for Scientific and Industrial Research indicated the ANC would get 40.5 percent when full results are in.

So far the pro-business Democratic Alliance (DA) was in second place on 23.4 percent. uMkhonto we Sizwe (MK), a new party led by former president Jacob Zuma, was at 10.8 percent and eating into ANC support, particularly in KwaZulu-Natal, Zuma's home province.

MK had overtaken the radical Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), currently the third biggest party in parliament, which was sitting on 9.6 percent.

By law the election commission has seven days to release full provisional results, but elections officials have said they are planning for a Sunday announcement.

MK Party supporters celebrate in the middle of the street in Mahlbnathini village in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, on May 30, 2024. MK Party is currently leading in the provincial poll against the ANC, who've held the stronghold in the province for the last 20 years. (PHOTO / AP)

'Doomsday coalition'

Political parties' share of the vote will determine the number of seats they get in the National Assembly, which then elects the next president.

That could still be the ANC's leader, incumbent President Cyril Ramaphosa. However, an embarrassing showing at the polls risks fuelling a leadership challenge.

READ MORE: South Africa's Zuma suffers new setback in corruption trial

ANC chairperson Gwede Mantashe said on Thursday that the ANC still wanted to win a majority. "A coalition is not our plan; it is a consequence. We will deal with that consequence when it happens," he said.

Investors and the business community have voiced concern over the prospect of the ANC entering a coalition with the EFF, which is calling for the seizure of white-owned land and the nationalization of mines and banks, or with Zuma's MK which also talks about land confiscation.

Though the DA says it wants to oust the ruling party, its leader John Steenhuisen has not ruled out a partnership to block what he has called a "doomsday coalition" with the ANC bringing the EFF or MK into government.