Published: 18:52, January 10, 2025
Lebanon’s new president raising hopes for peace and recovery
By Jan Yumul in Hong Kong
Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nab Berri (right) listens to the first speech of Joseph Aoun, after the latter was sworn in as the new president, at the Lebanese Parliament, in Beirut, Lebanon, Jan 9, 2025. (PHOTO / AP)

After many attempts, Lebanon has finally elected a president, ending more than two years of deadlock and raising hopes of a reset that could rid the nation of years of economic, political and security turmoil.

Joseph Aoun, who had been Lebanon’s army commander, won huge backing at the end of an electoral session held by the 128-member Lebanese parliament on Jan 9, weeks after Israel and Lebanon entered a 60-day cease-fire.

Political division had derailed Lebanon, leaving the country without a president following the end of the tenure of Michel Aoun — who is not related to the new head of state — in October 2022. A caretaker government led by Prime Minister Najib Mikati had been running the country during the presidential vacuum.

Leaders from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, France, Iran and the United States were among those who congratulated Joseph Aoun. And Israel’s foreign minister, Gideon Saar, said in a post on X that he congratulates Lebanon upon the election of a new president “following a lengthy political crisis” and that he hopes “this choice will contribute towards stability, a better future for Lebanon and its people and to good neighborly relations”.

READ MORE: Joseph Aoun elected Lebanon's president

Days before the election, the head of Hezbollah's Coordination and Liaison Unit, Wafiq Safa, said in a televised interview that the party will not “veto” the nomination of Joseph Aoun for the country’s presidency.

During his inaugural speech, Aoun acknowledged “the need for change in Lebanon’s political system” and the “importance of legal and judicial reform”, calling his election “the greatest medal” he could receive from the Lebanese parliament.

"We must change the political performance in Lebanon. My mandate begins today, and I pledge to serve all Lebanese, wherever they are, as the first servant of the country, upholding the national pact and practicing the full powers of the presidency as an impartial mediator between institutions,” Lebanon’s National News Agency (NNA) quoted the president as saying.

Further, Aoun pledged to call for parliamentary consultations to swiftly select a prime minister “who would be a partner rather than an adversary”. He also announced plans to rotate senior government positions and restructure the public administration.

The new president vowed to assert the state's right to maintain a monopoly on the possession of weapons and expressed his intention to invest in the military to secure Lebanon's borders, particularly in the south, and in the delimitation of the eastern and northern borders, as he underscored the importance of fighting terrorism and enforcing international resolutions, and preventing Israeli aggression.

Elie Al Hindy, an associate professor of international relations at the American University in the Emirates, in Dubai, told China Daily that in the general geopolitical sense, the presidential election in Lebanon is “a clear sign of the revival of the political life, and of the start of Lebanon’s recovery”.

“The way the election happened and the choice of the person are a clear reflection of the new balance of power in the region and inside Lebanon,” said Al Hindy, who is a former head of foreign affairs in the Lebanese Forces Party.

Internally, he said, Hezbollah may not be forced to surrender all its weapons immediately, but it is clear that the group “has lost all its hegemony and ability to force its choices on the Lebanese”.

“The most important message of the new president is monopoly of weapons in the hand of the State and implementing all international resolutions. Next test is the formation of a government that goes in the same direction,” said Al Hindy.

Gokhan Batu, an analyst on Israel studies at the Center for Middle Eastern Studies in Turkiye, said Aoun’s election marks “a significant development shaped by Hezbollah and Amal’s calculated support”.

The Amal Movement is a prominent Shia political group in Lebanon.

“This backing is primarily explained by the pressing need for international assistance, which many external actors have explicitly tied to political stability and a functional government,” said Batu.

Lebanese politics is based on a sectarian power-sharing structure. The positions of president, prime minister and parliament speaker must be split between a Maronite Christian, a Sunni Muslim and a Shia Muslim.

By facilitating Aoun’s election, Batu said, Hezbollah seeks to mitigate further harm to its standing in Lebanese politics and ensure access to crucial aid, which is likely to benefit its constituencies and bolster its influence in the long term. Rather than obstructing the process, Hezbollah’s position reflects a pragmatic effort to navigate Lebanon’s deepening economic crisis while avoiding complete isolation.

Hezbollah appears focused on internal stabilization and reconstruction in its areas of influence, particularly following the significant damage caused by recent hostilities, Batu said.

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“The fragile ceasefire” with Israel, whose term ends later this month, “is unlikely to result in substantial shifts unless external pressures or provocations emerge”, he said. “For now, Hezbollah’s priority seems to be maintaining internal equilibrium and securing international support without appearing weak or compromised.”

In his speech, Aoun highlighted the need to rebuild following the damage caused by Israeli aggression in southern Lebanon and urged the country to focus on strengthening ties with the outside world, “rather than relying on foreign powers to gain an advantage over each other internally”, according to NNA.

The new president is opposed to the settlement of Palestinian refugees in Lebanon. Meanwhile, he pledged to ensure the security of refugee camps and called for serious dialogue with Syria to address unresolved issues related to missing persons and Syrian refugees.

Batu said that for Aoun, the primary challenge ahead will be forming a functional government capable of managing the country’s crises effectively.

“This includes the delicate task of handling ceasefire processes with Israel, a critical factor in preventing further escalation. Whether this dual challenge — domestic governance and regional stability — can be met will largely determine Lebanon’s near-term trajectory and its ability to recover from ongoing economic and political turmoil,” he added.

Contact the writer at jan@chinadailyapac.com